Institute of Fundamental Technological Research
Polish Academy of Sciences

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S.ergei Petrovskii

University of Leicester (UK)


Recent publications
1.  Volpert V., Banerjee M., D Onofrio, Lipniacki T., Petrovskii S., Tran V.C., Coronavirus - Scientific insights and societal aspects, MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF NATURAL PHENOMENA, ISSN: 0973-5348, DOI: 10.1051/mmnp/2020010 , Vol.15, pp.E2-1-8, 2020

Abstract:
In December 2019, the first case of infection with a new virus COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2), named coronavirus, was reported in the city of Wuhan, China. At that time, almost nobody paid any attention to it. The new pathogen, however, fast proved to be extremely infectious and dangerous, resulting in about 3–5% mortality. Over the few months that followed, coronavirus has spread over entire world. At the end of March, the total number of infections is fast approaching the psychological threshold of one million, resulting so far in tens of thousands of deaths. Due to the high number of lives already lost and the virus high potential for further spread, and due to its huge overall impact on the economies and societies, it is widely admitted that coronavirus poses the biggest challenge to the humanity after the second World war. The COVID-19 epidemic is provoking numerous questions at all levels. It also shows that modern society is extremely vulnerable and unprepared to such events. A wide scientific and public discussion becomes urgent. Some possible directions of this discussion are suggested in this article.

Keywords:
COVID-19, epidemic progression, mathematical models, crisis management, open questions

Affiliations:
Volpert V. - University Lyon (FR)
Banerjee M. - Indian Insitute of Technology (IN)
D Onofrio - International Prevention Research Institute (FR)
Lipniacki T. - IPPT PAN
Petrovskii S. - University of Leicester (UK)
Tran V.C. - University Gustave Eiffel (FR)

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